Bank of Thailand: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Wednesday December 1, 2010 13:14 —Bank of Thailand

Economic and Monetary Conditions in Oct 2010

2010

                                                    May      Jun      Jul      Aug      Sep      Oct

The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)
 Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level)                          188.1    191.6    188.7    182.5    189.1    187.7
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level)                   185.0    194.2    190.1    183.7    201.5    191.6
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA                           15.9     14.2     13.1      8.4      8.1      6.2
 Industrial Capacity Util.(%)                      64.3     65.4     64.8     63.6     64.4     64.1
Private Consumption Indicators
 -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices)                      7.7     11.6     12.4      8.2      8.6     n.a.
 -Passenger Car Sales(units)                       68.1     86.2     74.3     59.4     45.8     43.2
 -Motorcycle Sales(units)                          26.5     43.2     34.2     20.0      9.3        2
 -Imports of Consumer Goods1/(at2000prices)        45.2     37.4     13.5     27.4      9.2     11.3
Private Investment Indicators
 -Commercial Car Sales(units)                      42.5     44.6     37.0     46.4     35.6     28.9
 -Imports of Capital Goods1/(at 2000prices)        37.0     42.9     27.9     32.0     21.7     11.6
 -Cement Sales(tons)                               19.4      6.4      3.5     -4.5      3.7     -7.4
 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt)                   -15.4    122.6    -56.3     -0.1     67.4    -76.0
 Consumer Price Index                               3.5      3.3      3.4      3.3      3.0      2.8
 -Food                                              4.6      6.1      6.9      7.5      6.6      5.5
 -Non-Food                                          2.8      1.5      1.4      1.0      0.9      1.3
 Core Inflation(excluding raw food & energy)        1.2      1.1      1.2      1.2      1.1      1.1

External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise)
 Exports 2/                                      16,436   17,878   15,475   16,292   17,955   17,046
 (% US$)                                         (42.5)   (47.1)   (21.2)   (23.6)   (21.8)   (16.6)
 Imports 2/                                      14,137   15,342   16,266   15,440   14,712   14,604
 (% US$)                                         (53.5)   (38.3)   (36.5)   (41.8)   (15.7)   (13.0)
 Trade Balance                                    2,299    2,536     -791      852    3,243    2,442
 Current Account Balance 3/                       1,172      814   -1,001      280    2,767    2,909
 Net Capital Flow 3/ 4/                          -2,389      826    3,123    3,935      732    3,877
 -Monetary authorities 5/                            62      173      261      149      457      765
 -Government                                       -170      102      434      903      620      434
 -Bank                                           -1,703    2,554      527    1,860      460    4,155
 -Others                                           -578    -2002    1,902    1,024     -804    -1478
 Balance of Payments                               -989    2,166    1,412    3,589    4,270    5,822
 Official Reserves(bn.US$)                        143.5    146.8    151.5    155.2    163.2    171.1

Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht)
 Monetary Base                                  1,088.8  1,072.0  1,066.9  1,045.6  1,118.1  1,072.2
 (%)                                             (14.3)    (9.3)   (11.3)    (8.0)   (13.7)    (9.6)
 Narrow Money                                   1,261.9  1,180.2  1,173.0  1,181.4  1,175.5  1,202.3
 (%)                                             (14.4)   (15.1)   (15.8)   (11.4)   (11.7)   (11.4)
 Broad Money                                   11,001.5 10,846.4 10,887.1 10,968.1 11,116.1 11,321.4
 (%)                                              (6.8)    (7.0)    (8.8)    (8.5)    (9.9)   (11.2)
 Depository Corporations Deposits 6/           10,229.1  9,983.3  9,974.5 10,015.9 10,091.6 10,204.1
 (%)                                              (7.0)    (6.2)    (7.6)    (6.6)    (7.8)    (8.5)
Despository Corporations Private Credits 6/    9,101.2  9,196.7  9,219.7  9,299.8  9,432.7  9,580.5
 (%)                                              (7.3)    (8.5)    (9.1)    (9.8)   (10.8)   (12.1)

Interest Rates(% p.a.)
-Repurchase Rate,1 day
 (closing rate daily avg.)                         1.25     1.25      1.4     1.56     1.75     1.75
 -Overnight Interbank Rate(mode daily avg.)        1.16     1.13     1.27     1.43     1.62     1.62
 -Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 7/                0.65-0.7 0.65-0.7 1.00-1.2 1.00-1.2 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50
 -Prime Rate(MLR) 7/                           5.85-6.2 5.85-6.2 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.38
 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$)                        32.39    32.47    32.33    31.74    30.83    29.97

1/ Excluding transportation
2/ BOP Basis
3/ From October 2006, the reinvested earning data (R.E.) is included in the Financial Account, with
corresponding contra entry under "Investment Income" item by the same amount in the Current Account. Also,
adjustments are made to the Balance of Payments data series to reflect RE since 2001. (Detail on BOT Press
release No.45/2006)
http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/General/pressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm
4/ The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised in the following month.
5/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents since 2005
6/ Depository corporations Domestically Registered Commercial Banks, Branchese of Foreign Banks,
International Banking Facilities, Finance Companies, Specialized Banks, Thrift and Credit Cooperatives and
Money Market Mutual Funds.
7/ As quoted by the 5 largest banks p = preliminary  e = estimate

Source : Bank of Thailand

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