BOT: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Thursday January 6, 2011 14:04 —Bank of Thailand

Date: 6-Jan-2011 (Data Updated until Nov 2010)

2010

                                                    Jun      Jul      Aug      Sep      Oct      Nov

The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)
 Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level)                          191.9    188.8    182.5    189.3    187.9    189.2
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level)                   194.2    190.1    183.7    201.5    191.2    190.4
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA                           14.2     13.1      8.4      8.1      6.0      5.6
 Industrial Capacity Util.(%)                      65.4     64.8     63.6     64.4     63.9     63.6
Private Consumption Indicators
 -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices)                     11.6     12.5      8.2      9.0      4.5     n.a.
 -Passenger Car Sales(units)                       86.2     74.3     59.4     45.8     43.2     40.9
 -Motorcycle Sales(units)                          43.2     34.2     20.0      9.3      2.0      9.3
 -Imports of Consumer Goods1/(at2000prices)        37.4     13.5     27.4      9.2     11.3     16.9
Private Investment Indicators
 -Commercial Car Sales(units)                      44.6     37.0     46.4     35.6     28.9     36.3
 -Imports of Capital Goods1/(at 2000prices)        42.9     27.9     32.0     21.7     11.6     20.5
 -Cement Sales(tons)                                6.4      3.5     -4.5      3.7     -7.2     -1.8
 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt)                   122.6    -56.3     -0.1     67.4    -76.0     -104
 Consumer Price Index                               3.3      3.4      3.3      3.0      2.8      2.8
 -Food                                              6.1      6.9      7.5      6.6      5.5      5.8
 -Non-Food                                          1.5      1.4      1.0      0.9      1.3      1.1
 Core Inflation(excluding raw food & energy)        1.1      1.2      1.2      1.1      1.1      1.1

External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise)
 Exports 2/                                      17,877   15,475   16,292   17,955   17,046   17,584
 (% US$)                                         (47.1)   (21.2)   (23.6)   (21.8)   (16.6)   (28.7)
 Imports 2/                                      15,334   16,266   15,440   14,712   14,773   17,094
 (% US$)                                         (38.3)   (36.5)   (41.8)   (15.7)   (14.4)   (35.0)
 Trade Balance                                    2,542     -791      852    3,243    2,273      490
 Current Account Balance 3/                         821    -1001      280     2767     2740     1019
 Net Capital Flow 3/ 4/                             741     2980     3206     1126     2405      443
 -Monetary authorities 5/                           173      261      149      409      200      -35
 -Government                                         96      423      901      584      443     -162
 -Bank                                             2554      524     1859      486     3976      584
 -Others                                          -2082     1772      297     -354    -2215       56
 Balance of Payments                               2166     1412     3589     4270     5822      820
 Official Reserves(bn.US$)                        146.8    151.5    155.2    163.2    171.1    168.0

Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht)
 Monetary Base                                  1,072.0  1,066.9  1,045.6  1,118.1  1,072.2  1,109.9
 (%)                                              (9.3)   (11.3)    (8.0)   (13.7)    (9.6)    (9.3)
 Narrow Money                                   1,180.2  1,173.0  1,181.4  1,175.5  1,202.3  1,235.4
 (%)                                             (15.1)   (15.8)   (11.4)   (11.7)   (11.4)   (10.8)
 Broad Money                                   10,846.4 10,887.1 10,968.1 11,116.1 11,322.4 11,497.3
 (%)                                              (7.0)    (8.8)    (8.5)    (9.9)   (11.2)   (11.1)
 Depository Corporations Deposits 6/            9,983.3  9,974.5 10,015.9 10,091.6 10,205.0 10,389.3
 (%)                                              (6.2)    (7.6)    (6.6)    (7.8)    (8.5)    (8.1)
Despository Corporations Private Credits 6/    9,196.7  9,219.7  9,299.8  9,432.7  9,580.3  9,743.9
 (%)                                              (8.5)    (9.1)    (9.8)   (10.8)   (12.1)   (12.2)

Interest Rates(% p.a.)
-Repurchase Rate,1 day
 (closing rate daily avg.)                         1.25     1.40     1.56     1.75     1.75     1.75
 -Overnight Interbank Rate(mode daily avg.)        1.13     1.27     1.43     1.62     1.62     1.62
 -Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 7/                0.65-0.7 1.00-1.2 1.00-1.2 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50
 -Prime Rate(MLR) 7/                           5.85-6.2 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.38
 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$)                        32.47    32.33    31.74    30.83    29.97    29.89

1/ Excluding transportation
2/ BOP Basis
3/ From October 2006, the reinvested earning data (R.E.) is included in the Financial Account, with
corresponding contra entry under "Investment Income" item by the same amount in the Current
Account. Also, adjustments are made to the Balance of Payments data series to reflect RE since
2001. (Detail on BOT Press release No.45/2006)
http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/General/pressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm
4/ The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised in the following month.
5/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents since 2005
6/ Depository corporations Domestically Registered Commercial Banks, Branchese of Foreign Banks,
International Banking Facilities, Finance Companies, Specialized Banks, Thrift and Credit Cooperatives
and Money Market Mutual Funds.
7/ As quoted by the 5 largest banks p = preliminary  e = estimate

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