BOT: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Tuesday February 1, 2011 10:22 —Bank of Thailand

Last Updated: 01-Feb-11 (Data update until Dec 2010)

2010

                                               Jul      Aug      Sep      Oct      Nov      Dec

The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)
 Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level)                     188.7    182.4    189.4    188.0    189.1    190.8
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level)              190.1    183.7    201.5    191.2    190.4    190.2
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA                      13.1      8.4      8.1      6.0      5.7     -2.5
 Industrial Capacity Util.(%)                 64.8     63.6     64.4     63.9     63.6     63.4
Private Consumption Indicators
 -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices)                12.5      8.2      9.1      5.1      7.6     n.a.
 -Passenger Car Sales(units)                  74.3     59.4     45.8     43.2     40.9     28.5
 -Motorcycle Sales(units)                     34.2     20.0      9.3      2.0      9.3     18.2
 -Imports of Consumer Goods1/(at2000price     13.5     27.4      9.2     11.3     16.9     12.7
Private Investment Indicators
 -Commercial Car Sales(units)                 37.0     46.4     35.6     28.9     36.3     29.8
 -Imports of Capital Goods1/(at 2000price     27.9     32.0     21.7     11.6     20.5     13.8
 -Cement Sales(tons)                           3.5     -4.5      3.7     -7.2     -1.8     -0.3
 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt)              -56.3     -0.1     67.4    -76.0     -104      -14
 Consumer Price Index                          3.4      3.3      3.0      2.8      2.8      3.0
 -Food                                         6.9      7.5      6.6      5.5      5.8      5.6
 -Non-Food                                     1.4      1.0      0.9      1.3      1.1      1.6
 Core Inflation(excluding raw food & ener      1.2      1.2      1.1      1.1      1.1      1.4

External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise)
 Exports 2/                                 15,475   16,292   17,955   17,046   17,584   17,220
 (% US$)                                    (21.2)   (23.6)   (21.8)   (16.6)   (28.7)   (18.6)
 Imports 2/                                 16,266   15,440   14,712   14,773   17,094   15,911
 (% US$)                                    (36.5)   (41.8)   (15.7)   (14.4)   (35.0)    (8.8)
 Trade Balance                                -791      852    3,243    2,273      490    1,310
 Current Account Balance 3/                  -1001      280     2767     2740     1019     1750
 Net Capital Flow 3/ 4/                       2980     3206     1126     2405     -182      801
 -Monetary authorities 5/                      261      149      409      200      -34      976
 -Government                                   423      901      584      443     -152       73
 -Bank                                         524     1859      486     3976      709     -922
 -Others                                      1772      297     -354    -2215     -705      674
 Balance of Payments                          1412     3589     4270     5822      820     2263
 Official Reserves(bn.US$)                   151.5    155.2    163.2    171.1    168.0    172.1

Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht)
 Monetary Base                             1,066.9  1,045.6  1,118.1  1,072.2  1,109.9  1,243.3
 (%)                                        (11.3)    (8.0)   (13.7)    (9.6)    (9.3)   (12.7)
 Narrow Money                              1,173.0  1,181.4  1,175.5  1,202.3  1,235.4  1,302.4
 (%)                                        (15.8)   (11.3)   (11.7)   (11.4)   (10.8)   (10.9)
 Broad Money                              10,887.1 10,968.1 11,116.1 11,323.3 11,501.6 11,775.4
 (%)                                         (8.8)    (8.5)    (9.9)   (11.2)   (11.2)   (10.9)
Depository Corporations Deposits 6/       9,974.5 10,015.9 10,091.6 10,206.0 10,392.3 10,583.4
 (%)                                         (7.6)    (6.6)    (7.8)    (8.5)    (8.1)    (8.7)
Despository Corporations Private Credits  9,219.7  9,299.8  9,432.7  9,580.3  9,743.9  9,934.3
 (%)                                         (9.1)    (9.8)   (10.8)   (12.1)   (12.2)   (12.5)

Interest Rates(% p.a.)
-Repurchase Rate,1 day
 (closing rate daily avg.)                    1.40     1.56     1.75     1.75     1.75     2.00
 -Overnight Interbank Rate(mode daily avg     1.27     1.43     1.62     1.62     1.62     1.88
 -Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 7/           1.00-1.2 1.00-1.2 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.50-1.63
 -Prime Rate(MLR) 7/                      6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.12-6.50
 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$)                   32.33    31.74    30.83    29.97    29.89    30.12

1/ Excluding transportation
2/ BOP Basis
3/ From October 2006, the reinvested earning data (R.E.) is included in the Financial Account, with
corresponding contra entry under "Investment Income" item by the same amount in the Current
Account. Also, adjustments are made to the Balance of Payments data series to reflect RE since
2001. (Detail on BOT Press release No.45/2006)
http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/General/pressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm
4/ The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised in the following month.
5/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents since 2005
6/ Depository corporations Domestically Registered Commercial Banks, Branchese of Foreign Banks,
International Banking Facilities, Finance Companies, Specialized Banks, Thrift and Credit Cooperatives
and Money Market Mutual Funds.
7/ As quoted by the 5 largest banks p = preliminary  e = estimate

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