BOT: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Monday February 28, 2011 12:46 —Bank of Thailand

Last Updated: 31-Feb-11 (Data update until Jan 2011)

The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)

2010 2011 Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level) 182.1 189.1 187.9 189.1 190.8 192.4 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level) 183.7 201.5 191.2 190.4 188.4 186.3 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA 8.4 8.1 6.0 5.7 3.4 3.7 Industrial Capacity Util.(%) 63.6 64.4 63.9 63.6 62.4 62.1 Private Consumption Indicators -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices) 8.3 9.1 5.2 8.0 7.1 n.a. -Passenger Car Sales(units) 59.4 45.8 43.2 40.9 28.5 49.6 -Motorcycle Sales(units) 20.0 9.3 2.0 9.3 18.2 7.5 -Imports of Consumer Goods1/(at2000price 27.4 9.2 11.3 16.9 12.7 22.0 Private Investment Indicators -Commercial Car Sales(units) 46.4 35.6 28.9 36.3 29.8 29.0 -Imports of Capital Goods1/(at 2000price 32.0 21.7 11.6 20.5 13.8 30.5 -Cement Sales(tons) -4.5 3.7 -7.2 -1.8 -0.3 4.4 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt) -0.1 67.4 -76.0 -104 -14 -120.4 Consumer Price Index 3.3 3.0 2.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 -Food 7.5 6.6 5.5 5.8 5.6 5.94 -Non-Food 1.0 0.9 1.3 1.1 1.6 1.34 Core Inflation(excluding raw food & ener 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.4 1.32 External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise) Exports 2/ 16,292 17,955 17,046 17,584 17,220 16,523 (% US$) (23.6) (21.8) (16.6) (28.7) (18.6) (21.4) Imports 2/ 15,440 14,712 14,773 17,094 15,911 17,111 (% US$) (41.8) (15.7) (14.4) (35.0) (8.8) (31.2) Trade Balance 852 3,243 2,273 490 1,310 -588 Current Account Balance 3/ 280 2,767 2,740 1,019 1,750 1090 Net Capital Flow 3/ 4/ 3,206 1,126 2,405 -182 1,219 985 -Monetary authorities 5/ 149 409 200 -34 1,151 1,561 -Government 901 584 443 -152 34 232 -Bank 1,859 486 3,976 709 1,121 1,634 -Others 297 -354 -2215 -705 1,155 -2,441 Balance of Payments 3589 4,270 5,822 820 2,263 1,689 Official Reserves(bn.US$) 155.2 163.2 171.1 168.0 172.1 174.0 Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht) Monetary Base 1,045.6 1,118.1 1,072.2 1,109.9 1,243.3 1,233.8 (%) (8.0) (13.7) (9.6) (9.3) (12.7) (17.5) Narrow Money 1,181.4 1,175.5 1,202.3 1,235.4 1,302.4 1,326.7 (%) (11.3) (11.7) (11.4) (10.8) (10.9) (15.6) Broad Money 10,968.1 11,116.1 11,323.3 11,497.6 11,776.4 11,818.5 (%) (8.5) (9.9) (11.2) (11.1) (10.9) (11.5) Depository Corporations Deposits 6/ 10,015.9 10,091.6 10,206.0 10,392.3 10,584.9 10,607.0 (%) (6.6) (7.8) (8.5) (8.1) (8.7) (8.9) Despository Corporations Private Credits 9,299.8 9,432.7 9,580.3 9,751.1 9,947.0 10,058.9 (%) (9.8) (10.8) (12.1) (12.3) (12.6) (14.4) Interest Rates(% p.a.) -Repurchase Rate,1 day (closing rate daily avg.) 1.56 1.75 1.75 1.75 2.00 2.18 -Overnight Interbank Rate(mode daily avg 1.43 1.62 1.62 1.62 1.88 2.06 -Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 7/ 1.00-1.2 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.40-1.7 1.60-1.85 -Prime Rate(MLR) 7/ 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.12-6.5 6.37-6.75 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$) 31.74 30.83 29.97 29.89 30.12 30.57 1/ Excluding transportation 2/ BOP Basis 3/ From October 2006, the reinvested earning data(R.E.) is included in the Financial Account, with corresponding contra entry under "Investment Income" item by the same amount in the Current Account. Also, adjustments are made to the Balance of Payments data series to reflect RE since 2001. (Detail on BOT Press release No.45/2006) http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/ General/pressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm 4/ The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised in the following month. 5/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents since 2005 6/ Depository corporations Domestically Registered Commercial Banks, Branchese of Foreign Banks, International Banking Facilities, Finance Companies, Specialized Banks, Thrift and Credit Cooperatives and Money Market Mutual Funds. 7/ As quoted by the 5 largest banks p = preliminary e = estimate

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