BOT: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Monday February 28, 2011 12:46 —Bank of Thailand

Last Updated: 31-Feb-11 (Data update until Jan 2011)

The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)

                                             2010                                         2011
                                               Aug      Sep      Oct      Nov      Dec      Jan
 Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level)                     182.1    189.1    187.9    189.1    190.8    192.4
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level)              183.7    201.5    191.2    190.4    188.4    186.3
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA                       8.4      8.1      6.0      5.7      3.4      3.7
 Industrial Capacity Util.(%)                 63.6     64.4     63.9     63.6     62.4     62.1
Private Consumption Indicators
 -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices)                 8.3      9.1      5.2      8.0      7.1     n.a.
 -Passenger Car Sales(units)                  59.4     45.8     43.2     40.9     28.5     49.6
 -Motorcycle Sales(units)                     20.0      9.3      2.0      9.3     18.2      7.5
 -Imports of Consumer Goods1/(at2000price     27.4      9.2     11.3     16.9     12.7     22.0
Private Investment Indicators
 -Commercial Car Sales(units)                 46.4     35.6     28.9     36.3     29.8     29.0
 -Imports of Capital Goods1/(at 2000price     32.0     21.7     11.6     20.5     13.8     30.5
 -Cement Sales(tons)                          -4.5      3.7     -7.2     -1.8     -0.3      4.4
 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt)               -0.1     67.4    -76.0     -104      -14   -120.4
 Consumer Price Index                          3.3      3.0      2.8      2.8      3.0      3.0
 -Food                                         7.5      6.6      5.5      5.8      5.6     5.94
 -Non-Food                                     1.0      0.9      1.3      1.1      1.6     1.34
 Core Inflation(excluding raw food & ener      1.2      1.1      1.1      1.1      1.4     1.32

External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise)
 Exports 2/                                 16,292   17,955   17,046   17,584   17,220   16,523
 (% US$)                                    (23.6)   (21.8)   (16.6)   (28.7)   (18.6)   (21.4)
 Imports 2/                                 15,440   14,712   14,773   17,094   15,911   17,111
 (% US$)                                    (41.8)   (15.7)   (14.4)   (35.0)    (8.8)   (31.2)
 Trade Balance                                 852    3,243    2,273      490    1,310     -588
 Current Account Balance 3/                    280    2,767    2,740    1,019    1,750     1090
 Net Capital Flow 3/ 4/                      3,206    1,126    2,405     -182    1,219      985
 -Monetary authorities 5/                      149      409      200      -34    1,151    1,561
 -Government                                   901      584      443     -152       34      232
 -Bank                                       1,859      486    3,976      709    1,121    1,634
 -Others                                       297     -354    -2215     -705    1,155   -2,441
 Balance of Payments                          3589    4,270    5,822      820    2,263    1,689
 Official Reserves(bn.US$)                   155.2    163.2    171.1    168.0    172.1    174.0

Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht)
 Monetary Base                             1,045.6  1,118.1  1,072.2  1,109.9  1,243.3  1,233.8
 (%)                                         (8.0)   (13.7)    (9.6)    (9.3)   (12.7)   (17.5)
 Narrow Money                              1,181.4  1,175.5  1,202.3  1,235.4  1,302.4  1,326.7
 (%)                                        (11.3)   (11.7)   (11.4)   (10.8)   (10.9)   (15.6)
 Broad Money                              10,968.1 11,116.1 11,323.3 11,497.6 11,776.4 11,818.5
 (%)                                         (8.5)    (9.9)   (11.2)   (11.1)   (10.9)   (11.5)
Depository Corporations Deposits 6/      10,015.9 10,091.6 10,206.0 10,392.3 10,584.9 10,607.0
 (%)                                         (6.6)    (7.8)    (8.5)    (8.1)    (8.7)    (8.9)
Despository Corporations Private Credits  9,299.8  9,432.7  9,580.3  9,751.1  9,947.0 10,058.9
 (%)                                         (9.8)   (10.8)   (12.1)   (12.3)   (12.6)   (14.4)

Interest Rates(% p.a.)
-Repurchase Rate,1 day
 (closing rate daily avg.)                    1.56     1.75     1.75     1.75     2.00     2.18
 -Overnight Interbank Rate(mode daily avg     1.43     1.62     1.62     1.62     1.88     2.06
 -Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 7/           1.00-1.2 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.40-1.7 1.60-1.85
 -Prime Rate(MLR) 7/                      6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.12-6.5 6.37-6.75
 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$)                   31.74    30.83    29.97    29.89    30.12    30.57

1/ Excluding transportation     2/ BOP Basis
3/ From October 2006, the reinvested earning data(R.E.) is included in the
Financial Account, with corresponding contra entry under "Investment Income"
item by the same amount in the Current Account. Also, adjustments are made to
the Balance of Payments data series to reflect RE since 2001.
(Detail on BOT Press release No.45/2006) http://www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/
General/pressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm
4/ The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised
in the following month. 5/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents
since 2005 6/ Depository corporations Domestically Registered Commercial Banks,
Branchese of Foreign Banks, International Banking Facilities, Finance Companies,
Specialized Banks, Thrift and Credit Cooperatives and Money Market Mutual Funds.
7/ As quoted by the 5 largest banks p = preliminary  e = estimate

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