BOT: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Friday April 1, 2011 12:38 —Bank of Thailand

Last Updated: 01-Apr-11 (Data update until Feb 2011)

The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)

                                              2010                                2011
                                               Sep      Oct      Nov      Dec      Jan      Feb
The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)
 Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level)                     189.3    187.8    188.7    189.2    192.1    188.5
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level)              201.5    191.2    190.4    188.4    186.9    176.9
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA                       8.1      6.0      5.7    (3.4)      4.1    (3.4)
 Industrial Capacity Util.(%)                 64.4     63.9     63.6     62.4     62.3     59.1
Private Consumption Indicators
 -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices)                 9.1      5.3      8.0      7.7      8.0     n.a.
 -Passenger Car Sales(units)                  45.8     43.2     40.9     28.5     49.6     49.0
 -Motorcycle Sales(units)                      9.3      2.0      9.3     18.2      7.5     24.3
 -Imports of Consumer Goods1/(at2000price      9.2     11.3     16.9     12.7     22.0      7.5
Private Investment Indicators
 -Commercial Car Sales(units)                 35.6     28.9     36.3     29.8     29.0     37.0
 -Imports of Capital Goods1/(at 2000price     21.7     11.6     20.5     13.8     30.5     10.5
 -Cement Sales(tons)                           3.7     -7.2     -1.8     -0.3      4.5      3.6
 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt)               67.4    -76.0     -104      -14   -120.4    -18.8
 Consumer Price Index2/                        3.0      2.8      2.8      3.0     3.03     2.87
 -Food                                         6.6      5.5      5.8      5.6     5.94     5.15
 -Non-Food                                     0.9      1.3      1.1      1.6     1.34     1.53
 Core Inflation(excluding raw food & ener      1.1      1.1      1.1      1.4     1.32     1.45

External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise)
 Exports 3/                                 17,955   17,046   17,584   17,220   16,523   18,406
 (% US$)                                    (21.8)   (16.6)   (28.7)   (18.6)   (21.4)   (29.1)
 Imports 3/                                 14,712   14,773   17,094   15,911   17,111   16,375
 (% US$)                                    (15.7)   (14.4)   (35.0)    (8.8)   (31.2)   (18.6)
 Trade Balance                               3,243    2,273      490    1,310     -588    2,031
 Current Account Balance 4/                  2,767    2,740    1,019    1,750    1,090    3,823
 Net Capital Flow 4/ 5/                      1,891    2,759      394     (66)      894       29
 -Monetary authorities 6/                      409      200      -34    1,151    1,561      150
 -Government                                   529      429     -152       15      228      161
 -Bank                                         482    3,997      516   -1,122    1,455     -447
 -Others                                       471   -1,867       64     -110   -2,350      165
 Balance of Payments                         4,270    5,822      820    2,263    1,689    4,271
 Official Reserves(bn.US$)                   163.2    171.1    168.0    172.1    174.0    179.5

Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht)
 Monetary Base                             1,118.1  1,072.2  1,109.9  1,243.3  1,233.3  1,233.6
 (%)                                        (13.7)    (9.6)    (9.3)   (12.7)   (17.4)   (12.2)
 Narrow Money                              1,175.5  1,202.3  1,235.4  1,302.4  1,326.2  1,346.4
 (%)                                        (11.7)   (11.4)   (10.8)   (10.9)   (15.5)   (13.4)
 Broad Money                              11,116.1 11,323.3 11,497.6 11,776.4 11,819.2 12,146.9
 (%)                                         (9.9)   (11.2)   (11.1)   (10.9)   (11.5)   (13.7)
Depository Corporations Deposits 7/      10,091.6 10,206.0 10,392.3 10,584.9 10,608.5 10,827.7
 (%)                                         (7.8)    (8.5)    (8.1)    (8.7)    (8.9)   (10.2)
Despository Corporations Private Credits  9,432.7  9,580.3  9,751.1  9,947.0 10,064.5 10,207.3
 (%)                                        (10.8)   (12.1)   (12.3)   (12.6)   (14.5)   (15.0)

Interest Rates(% p.a.)
-Repurchase Rate,1 day
 (closing rate daily avg.)                    1.75     1.75     1.75     2.00     2.18     2.25
 -Overnight Interbank Rate(mode daily avg     1.62     1.62     1.62     1.88     2.06     2.12
 -Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 8/           1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.1-1.50 1.40-1.7 1.60-1.8 1.60-1.85
 -Prime Rate(MLR) 8/                      6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.00-6.3 6.12-6.5 6.37-6.7 6.37-6.75
 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$)                   30.83    29.97    29.89    30.12    30.56    30.71

1/ Excluding transportation 2/ Ministry of Commerce reports the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
in two-digit decimal point from January 2011 onwards 3/ BOP Basis 4/ From October 2006, the
reinvested earning data (R.E.) is included in the Financial Account, with corresponding
contra entry under "Investment Income" item by the same amount in the Current Account. Also,
adjustments are made to the Balance of Payments data series to reflect RE since 2001.(Detail
on BOT Press release No.45/2006) http://www.
bot.or.th/bothomepage/General/PressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm
5/The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised in the following
month. 6/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents since 2005 7/Depository Corporations
comprise Domestically Registered Commercial Banks, Branches of Foreign Banks, International
Banking Facilities, Finance Companies, Specialized Banks, Thrift and Credit Cooperatives and
Money Market Mutual Funds. 8/ As quoted by the 5 largest banks p = preliminary e = estimate

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