BOT: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Tuesday May 3, 2011 11:27 —Bank of Thailand

Last Updated: 03-May-11 (Data update until Mar 2011)

                                         2010                          2011
                                          Oct       Nov       Dec       Jan       Feb       Mar

The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)
 Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level)                187.8     188.7     189.2     189.6     188.7     188.5
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level)         191.2     190.4     188.4     186.9     177.8     198.3
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA                  6.0       5.7      -3.4       4.1      -3.0      -6.7
 Industrial Capacity Util.(%)            63.9      63.6      62.4      62.3      59.5      65.9
Private Consumption Indicators
 -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices)            5.3       8.1       7.8       9.3       8.6      n.a.
 -Passenger Car Sales(units)             43.2      40.9      28.5      49.6      49.0      80.9
 -Motorcycle Sales(units)                 2.0       9.3      18.2       7.5      24.3      12.9
 -Imports of Consumer Goods              11.3      16.9      12.7      22.0       7.5      20.4
Private Investment Indicators
 -Commercial Car Sales(units)            28.9      36.3      29.8      29.0      37.0      26.2
 -Imports of Capital Goods1/             11.6      20.5      13.8      30.5      10.5      31.2
 -Cement Sales(tons)                     -7.2      -1.8      -0.3       4.5       3.4      -0.6
 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt)         -76.0      -104       -14    -120.4     -18.8     -58.0
 Consumer Price Index2/                   2.8       2.8       3.0      3.03      2.87      3.14
 -Food                                    5.5       5.8       5.6      5.94      5.15      5.87
 -Non-Food                                1.3       1.1       1.6      1.34      1.53      1.53
Core Inflation
 (excluding raw food&energy)2/            1.1       1.1       1.4      1.32      1.45      1.62
External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise)
 Exports 3/                            17,046    17,584    17,220    16,523    18,406    21,072
 (% US$)                               (16.6)    (28.7)    (18.6)    (21.4)    (29.1)    (31.0)
 Imports 3/                            14,773    17,094    15,911    17,111    16,375    19,180
 (% US$)                               (14.4)    (35.0)     (8.8)    (31.2)    (18.6)    (27.2)
 Trade Balance                          2,273       490     1,310      -588     2,031     1,892
 Current Account Balance 4/             2,740     1,019     1,750     1,090     3,823     1,881
 Net Capital Flow 4/ 5/                 2,759       394       -66       894       -44       291
 -Monetary authorities 6/                 200       -34     1,151     1,561       150       -19
 -Government                              429      -152        15       228       145       270
 -Bank                                  3,997       516    -1,122     1,455      -359       995
 -Others                               -1,867        64      -110    -2,350        20      -956
 Balance of Payments                    5,822       820     2,263     1,689     4,271     1,365
 Official Reserves(bn.US$)              171.1     168.0     172.1     174.0     179.5     181.6

Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht)
 Monetary Base                        1,072.2   1,109.9   1,243.3   1,233.3   1,233.6   1,267.9
 (%)                                    (9.6)     (9.3)    (12.7)    (17.4)    (12.2)    (15.5)
 Narrow Money                         1,202.3   1,235.4   1,302.4   1,326.2   1,346.4   1,345.6
 (%)                                   (11.4)    (10.8)    (10.9)    (15.5)    (13.4)    (13.8)
 Broad Money                         11,323.3  11,497.6  11,776.4  11,817.2  12,152.9  12,286.5
 (%)                                   (11.2)    (11.1)    (10.9)    (11.5)    (13.7)    (13.2)
Depository Corporations Deposits 7  10,206.0  10,387.9  10,584.9  10,606.3  10,834.2  10,892.6
 (%)                                    (8.5)     (8.1)     (8.7)     (8.8)    (10.3)     (9.1)
Despository Corp. Private Credits    9,580.3   9,751.1   9,947.0  10,064.5  10,209.6  10,308.5
 (%)                                   (12.1)    (12.3)    (12.6)    (14.5)    (15.0)    (14.9)

Interest Rates(% p.a.)
-Repurchase Rate,1 day
 (closing rate daily avg.)               1.75      1.75      2.00      2.18      2.25      2.43
-Overnight Interbank Rate
 (mode daily avg.)                       1.62      1.62      1.88      2.06      2.12      2.31
-Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 8/      1.1-1.50  1.1-1.50 1.40-1.70 1.60-1.85 1.60-1.85 1.85-2.00
 -Prime Rate(MLR) 8/                6.00-6.38 6.00-6.38 6.12-6.50 6.37-6.75 6.37-6.75 6.62-7.00
 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$)              29.96     29.87     30.11     30.58     30.71     30.36

1/ Excluding transportation 2/ Ministry of Commerce reports the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
in two-digit decimal point from January 2011 onwards 3/ BOP Basis 4/ From October 2006, the
reinvested earning data (R.E.) is included in the Financial Account, with corresponding
contra entry under "Investment Income" item by the same amount in the Current Account. Also,
adjustments are made to the Balance of Payments data series to reflect RE since 2001.(Detail
on BOT Press release No.45/2006) http://
www.bot.or.th/bothomepage/General/PressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm
5/ The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised in the following
month. 6/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents since 2005 7/ Depository Corporations
comprise Domestically Registered Commercial Banks, Branches of Foreign Banks, International
Banking Facilities, Finance Companies, Specialized Banks, Thrift and Credit Cooperatives and
Money Market Mutual Funds. 8/ As quoted by the 5 largest banks p = preliminary e = estimate

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