BOT: Economic and Monetary Conditions

ข่าวเศรษฐกิจ Tuesday May 31, 2011 15:38 —Bank of Thailand

Last Updated: 31-May-11 (Data update until Apr 2011)

                                         2010                2011
                                          Nov       Dec       Jan       Feb       Mar       Apr
The Real Sector(% from the same period of last year, unless specificed otherwise)
 Mfg. Prod.Idx SA(level)                188.7     189.2     189.5     188.3     187.0     180.8
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA(level)         190.4     188.4     186.9     177.8     198.2     165.9
 Mfg. Prod. Idx w/out SA                  5.7      -3.4       4.1      -3.0      -6.7      -7.8
 Industrial Capacity Util.(%)            63.6      62.4      62.3      59.5      66.1      54.6
Private Consumption Indicators
 -Retail Sales(at 2002 prices)            8.1       7.9       9.4       8.8       3.8      n.a.
 -Passenger Car Sales(units)             39.7      28.2      49.6      49.6      80.3      17.8
 -Motorcycle Sales(units)                 9.3      18.2       7.5      24.3      13.2      15.5
 -Imports of Consumer Goods              16.9      12.7      22.0       7.5      20.4      17.5
Private Investment Indicators
 -Commercial Car Sales(units)            37.3      29.9      29.7      37.6      28.5      17.7
 -Imports of Capital Goods1/             20.5      13.8      30.5      10.5      31.2      21.1
 -Cement Sales(tons)                      4.2       8.7       3.8       4.8       2.3       2.7
 Government Cash Balance(Bn.Bt)          -104       -14    -120.4     -18.8     -58.0      -5.5
 Consumer Price Index2/                   2.8       3.0      3.03      2.87      3.14      4.04
 -Food                                    5.8       5.6      5.94      5.15      5.87      8.59
 -Non-Food                                1.1       1.6      1.34      1.53      1.53      1.35
Core Inflation
 (excluding raw food&energy)2/            1.1       1.4      1.32      1.45      1.62      2.07
External Accounts(Millions of US$, unless specified otherwise)
 Exports 3/                            17,584    17,220    16,523    18,406    21,072    17,243
 (% US$)                               (28.7)    (18.6)    (21.4)    (29.1)    (31.0)    (24.7)
 Imports 3/                            17,094    15,911    17,111    16,375    19,180    17,720
 (% US$)                               (35.0)     (8.8)    (31.2)    (18.6)    (27.2)    (26.3)
 Trade Balance                            490     1,310      -588     2,031     1,892      -477
 Current Account Balance 4/             1,019     1,750     1,090     3,823     1,881      -165
 Net Capital Flow 4/ 5/                   394       -66       894       -44      -611     2,005
 -Monetary authorities 6/                 -34     1,151     1,561       150       -19     1,438
 -Government                             -152        15       228       145       225       307
 -Bank                                    516    -1,122     1,455      -359       388    -1,479
 -Others                                   64      -110    -2,350        20    -1,205     1,739
 Balance of Payments                      820     2,263     1,689     4,271     1,365     3,570
 Official Reserves(bn.US$)              168.0     172.1     174.0     179.5     181.6     189.9

Monetary Statistics(End of Period)(Billions of Baht)
 Monetary Base                        1,109.9   1,243.3   1,233.3   1,233.6   1,267.9   1,202.5
 (%)                                    (9.3)    (12.7)    (17.4)    (12.2)    (15.5)     (9.3)
 Narrow Money                         1,235.4   1,302.4   1,326.2   1,346.4   1,345.6   1,347.6
 (%)                                   (10.8)    (10.9)    (15.5)    (13.4)    (13.8)    (14.0)
 Broad Money                         11,497.6  11,776.4  11,817.2  12,152.9  12,286.5  12,469.3
 (%)                                   (11.1)    (10.9)    (11.5)    (13.7)    (13.2)    (15.1)
Depository Corporations Deposits 7  10,387.9  10,584.9  10,606.3  10,834.2  10,891.3  10,964.4
 (%)                                    (8.1)     (8.7)     (8.8)    (10.3)     (9.0)     (9.9)
Despository Corp. Private Credits    9,751.1   9,947.0  10,064.5  10,209.7  10,308.2  10,375.0
 (%)                                   (12.3)    (12.6)    (14.5)    (15.1)    (14.9)    (15.3)

Interest Rates(% p.a.)
-Repurchase Rate,1 day
 (closing rate daily avg.)               1.75      2.00      2.18      2.25      2.43      2.62
-Overnight Interbank Rate
 (mode daily avg.)                       1.62      1.88      2.06      2.12      2.31      2.49
-Fixed Deposit Rate(1 year) 8/      1.1-1.50 1.40-1.70 1.60-1.85 1.60-1.85 1.85-2.00 2.00-2.30
 -Prime Rate(MLR) 8/                6.00-6.38 6.12-6.50 6.37-6.75 6.37-6.75 6.62-7.00 6.75-7.13
 Exchange Rate(Baht : US$)              29.87     30.10     30.57     30.69     30.33     30.02

1/ Excluding transportation 2/ Ministry of Commerce reports the Consumer Price Index (CPI)
in two-digit decimal point from January 2011 onwards 3/ BOP Basis 4/ From October 2006,
the reinvested earning data (R.E.) is included in the Financial Account, with
corresponding contra entry under "Investment Income" item by the same amount in the
Current Account. Also, adjustments are made to the Balance of Payments data series to
reflect RE since 2001.(Detail on BOT Press release No.45/2006) http://www.
bot.or.th/bothomepage/General/PressReleasesAndSpeeches/PressReleases/news2549/Eng/n4549e.htm
5/ The latest net capital flow data shown is preliminary which will be revised in the
following month. 6/ Include investment in BOT bond by non-residents since 2005
7/ Depository Corporations comprise Domestically Registered Commercial Banks, Branches of
Foreign Banks, International Banking Facilities, Finance Companies, Specialized Banks,
Thrift and Credit Cooperatives and Money Market Mutual Funds. 8/ As quoted by the 5
largest banks p = preliminary e = estimate

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